JAXJaguars
-
13
TBD
New Era Field
74°F
12 mph
10
BUFBills
-
TBD
New Era Field
74°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
3
3
7
13
Bills
7
0
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
225
242
Total Plays
61
63
Yards / Play
3.7
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.20
Passing Yards
142
147
Comp/Att
18/36(50%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.05
Rushing Yards
83
95
Rush Attempts
23
36
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
16
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
15%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-8.87
-8.38
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-5
-6
Sack EPA
-2.18
-2.80
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
50
78
Penalty EPA
-5.93
-9.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
21
2
Passing Yards / Game
18
5
Rushing Yards / Game
15
6
EPA
EPA / Play
22
1
EPA / Pass
18
2
EPA / Rush
19
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
4
2
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
31
4
Bills Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
7
Yards / Game
25
11
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
12
11
EPA
EPA / Play
20
14
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
25
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
23
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
18
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
24
4th Down Efficiency
19
17
RZ Efficiency
28
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U