JAXJaguars
1-1
23
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
10 mph
14
DENBroncos
2-0
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
75°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
17
3
3
23
Broncos
0
7
0
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
326
265
Total Plays
70
42
Yards / Play
4.7
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.18
Passing Yards
140
218
Comp/Att
14/20(70%)
16/23(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
9.5
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.19
Rushing Yards
186
47
Rush Attempts
47
18
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
11
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
8
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-10.64
-9.58
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-14
-4
Sack EPA
-7.07
-0.79
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
--
36
Penalty EPA
--
-7.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
28
Yards / Game
8
19
Passing Yards / Game
20
4
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30
EPA
EPA / Play
4
31
EPA / Pass
4
31
EPA / Rush
1
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
17
Interceptions / Game
2
24
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
30
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
31
RZ Efficiency
9
23
Broncos Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
11
Yards / Game
10
13
Passing Yards / Game
3
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
11
EPA
EPA / Play
15
18
EPA / Pass
11
19
EPA / Rush
10
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
18
Interceptions / Game
9
4
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
21
4th Down Efficiency
30
14
RZ Efficiency
21
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U