JAXJaguars
8-3
20
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
28°F
10 mph
14
CLEBrowns
4-7
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
28°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
3
0
17
0
20
Browns
0
14
0
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
237
303
Total Plays
59
57
Yards / Play
4.0
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.00
Passing Yards
102
205
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
13/20(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
10.3
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.53
Rushing Yards
135
98
Rush Attempts
36
32
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
15
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.78
--
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-14
-21
Sack EPA
-3.73
-6.51
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
50
97
Penalty EPA
-4.23
-9.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
11
Yards / Game
16
16
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31
EPA
EPA / Play
13
16
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
11
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
6
Interceptions / Game
1
20
Fumbles / Game
17
32
Turnover EPA / Game
29
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
27
4th Down Efficiency
25
17
RZ Efficiency
9
4
Browns Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
8
Yards / Game
26
5
Passing Yards / Game
30
21
Rushing Yards / Game
25
13
EPA
EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
27
11
EPA / Rush
31
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
16
Interceptions / Game
23
8
Fumbles / Game
18
31
Turnover EPA / Game
11
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
3
4th Down Efficiency
23
2
RZ Efficiency
32
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U