JAXJaguars
0-1
23
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
66°F
7 mph
16
KCChiefs
1-0
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
66°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
9
0
14
23
Chiefs
3
3
0
10
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
450
336
Total Plays
65
61
Yards / Play
6.9
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.03
Passing Yards
--
196
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
16/32(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.58
-0.05
Rushing Yards
130
140
Rush Attempts
29
28
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
47%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.70
-6.33
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-3
Sack EPA
--
-1.01
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
45
--
Penalty EPA
-4.49
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
28
Yards / Game
25
32
Passing Yards / Game
26
31
Rushing Yards / Game
9
25
EPA
EPA / Play
32
31
EPA / Pass
30
27
EPA / Rush
32
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
23
RZ Efficiency
32
15
Chiefs Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
7
Yards / Game
4
20
Passing Yards / Game
15
20
Rushing Yards / Game
3
25
EPA
EPA / Play
1
23
EPA / Pass
1
21
EPA / Rush
1
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
9
Interceptions / Game
7
22
Fumbles / Game
1
12
Turnover EPA / Game
32
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
19
4th Down Efficiency
8
20
RZ Efficiency
1
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U