JAXJaguars
8-7
30
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
40°F
10 mph
35
KCChiefs
8-7
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
40°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
10
14
6
30
Chiefs
1
14
14
0
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
397
395
Total Plays
66
68
Yards / Play
6.0
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.06
Passing Yards
284
225
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
16/25(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
9.0
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.03
Rushing Yards
113
170
Rush Attempts
23
40
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.25
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
23
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
43%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.24
-10.19
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-10
Sack EPA
-3.17
-6.30
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
32
Penalty EPA
-4.98
-2.05
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
12
Yards / Game
10
22
Passing Yards / Game
17
21
Rushing Yards / Game
3
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
21
EPA / Pass
17
19
EPA / Rush
2
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
9
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
2
4
Turnover EPA / Game
25
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
19
4th Down Efficiency
14
25
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Chiefs Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
4
Yards / Game
19
2
Passing Yards / Game
10
11
Rushing Yards / Game
9
4
EPA
EPA / Play
13
3
EPA / Pass
14
3
EPA / Rush
16
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
9
6
Fumbles / Game
20
29
Turnover EPA / Game
18
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
11
4th Down Efficiency
9
1
RZ Efficiency
2
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U