JAXJaguars
0-2
23
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
021
INDColts
1-1
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
4
7
6
17
Colts
7
7
0
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
325
Total Plays
70
49
Yards / Play
5.8
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.10
Passing Yards
--
211
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
15/29(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.28
Rushing Yards
236
114
Rush Attempts
48
19
Yards / Rush
4.9
6.0
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.51
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
19
Passing 1st downs
11
7
Rushing 1st downs
13
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
57%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
9
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.00
-14.48
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
--
-1.09
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
44
37
Penalty EPA
-5.36
-5.18
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
20
11
Passing Yards / Game
6
3
Rushing Yards / Game
18
25
EPA
EPA / Play
18
21
EPA / Pass
19
9
EPA / Rush
6
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
29
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
20
8
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
31
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
15
2
Colts Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
21
Yards / Game
15
18
Passing Yards / Game
20
14
Rushing Yards / Game
31
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
2
30
EPA / Rush
23
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
8
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
21
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
1
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U