JAXJaguars
2-1
30
TBD
FedExField
72°F
3 mph
36
WASCommanders
1-2
TBD
FedExField
72°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Jaguars
10
7
0
13
0
30
Commanders
7
6
7
10
6
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
481
Total Plays
54
70
Yards / Play
5.7
6.9
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.18
Passing Yards
274
--
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.22
Rushing Yards
33
152
Rush Attempts
15
40
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
22
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
15%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-3.46
-6.43
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-15
--
Sack EPA
-4.78
--
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
35
40
Penalty EPA
+0.60
+3.31
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
27
Yards / Game
10
30
Passing Yards / Game
17
9
Rushing Yards / Game
3
26
EPA
EPA / Play
11
32
EPA / Pass
17
32
EPA / Rush
2
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
30
Interceptions / Game
11
32
Fumbles / Game
2
32
Turnover EPA / Game
25
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
28
4th Down Efficiency
14
29
RZ Efficiency
9
9
Commanders Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
4
Yards / Game
13
2
Passing Yards / Game
32
11
Rushing Yards / Game
4
4
EPA
EPA / Play
9
3
EPA / Pass
12
3
EPA / Rush
6
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
20
Interceptions / Game
4
6
Fumbles / Game
10
29
Turnover EPA / Game
29
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
11
4th Down Efficiency
19
1
RZ Efficiency
16
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U