JAXJaguars
2-6
23
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
57°F
6 mph
28
PHIEagles
5-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
57°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
0
10
7
17
Eagles
7
9
6
6
28
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
219
447
Total Plays
53
76
Yards / Play
4.1
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.01
Passing Yards
159
210
Comp/Att
16/33(48%)
18/25(72%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
8.4
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.17
Rushing Yards
60
237
Rush Attempts
18
48
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
30%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-8.72
-3.39
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-14
-20
Sack EPA
-4.72
-4.26
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
17
67
Penalty EPA
-3.72
-6.39
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model73.1%
Spread Pick
Jaguars+7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+129
Home nfelo
1,589
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+43.0
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+0.0
Home QB Adjustment
+6.6
Away QB Adjustment
+6.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
173.8
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
T. Lawrence
Proj. Value
-0.2
Team Elo Adj
+6.6
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+6.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
1
Yards / Game
25
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
14
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
18
1
EPA / Pass
20
1
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
12
Interceptions / Game
22
6
Fumbles / Game
17
1
Turnover EPA / Game
23
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
8
4th Down Efficiency
20
21
RZ Efficiency
13
6
Eagles Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
27
Yards / Game
8
31
Passing Yards / Game
25
26
Rushing Yards / Game
2
24
EPA
EPA / Play
7
31
EPA / Pass
7
32
EPA / Rush
4
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
25
Interceptions / Game
3
30
Fumbles / Game
8
31
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
26
4th Down Efficiency
3
17
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U