JAXJaguars
6-1
30
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
07
ATLFalcons
2-6
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
10
10
3
30
Falcons
0
7
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
367
182
Total Plays
71
48
Yards / Play
5.2
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.52
Passing Yards
215
140
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.56
Rushing Yards
152
42
Rush Attempts
34
11
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
10
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
53%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
19
13
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-12.92
Sacks
3
9
Sack Yards
-23
-63
Sack EPA
-5.23
-12.33
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
40
--
Penalty EPA
-1.11
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
25
Yards / Game
4
16
Passing Yards / Game
13
10
Rushing Yards / Game
1
29
EPA
EPA / Play
5
25
EPA / Pass
4
26
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
6
Interceptions / Game
2
28
Fumbles / Game
4
29
Turnover EPA / Game
30
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
22
4th Down Efficiency
17
13
RZ Efficiency
18
20
Falcons Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
1
Yards / Game
27
3
Passing Yards / Game
21
6
Rushing Yards / Game
30
6
EPA
EPA / Play
26
4
EPA / Pass
19
4
EPA / Rush
30
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
23
5
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
6
4th Down Efficiency
20
3
RZ Efficiency
12
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-1
SU
4-3
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Falcons
2-6
SU
4-4
ATS
0-0-8
O/U