JAXJaguars
1-1
10
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
4 mph
16
CARPanthers
0-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
75°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
10
0
0
10
Panthers
0
3
3
8
14
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
257
267
Total Plays
57
63
Yards / Play
4.5
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.12
Passing Yards
129
--
Comp/Att
12/21(57%)
18/35(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.03
Rushing Yards
128
107
Rush Attempts
34
28
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
16
Passing 1st downs
4
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
21%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
NaN%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.02
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-1.23
--
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
60
69
Penalty EPA
-7.40
-7.36
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model52.4%
Spread Pick
Jaguars+3.5
Expected Value
+14.8%
Cover Probability
60.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-48
Home nfelo
1,369
Away nfelo
1,473
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-7.4
Home QB Adjustment
+30.7
Away QB Adjustment
+38.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
16.7
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
B. Gabbert
Proj. Value
-3.9
Team Elo Adj
+38.1
No recent game data available
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+30.7
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
27
Yards / Game
32
27
Passing Yards / Game
31
25
Rushing Yards / Game
11
24
EPA
EPA / Play
30
31
EPA / Pass
32
32
EPA / Rush
25
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
18
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
17
12
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
26
4th Down Efficiency
23
7
RZ Efficiency
20
28
Panthers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
10
Yards / Game
7
5
Passing Yards / Game
12
9
Rushing Yards / Game
3
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
6
EPA / Pass
11
13
EPA / Rush
1
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
9
Interceptions / Game
21
15
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
18
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
15
4th Down Efficiency
4
19
RZ Efficiency
7
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
6-2-2
O/U