nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jaguars @ raiders week 17, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

JAX logo
JAXJaguars
8-7
13
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
48°F
9 mph
6
OAKRaiders
5-10
OAK logo
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
48°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
3
10
0
13
Raiders
3
3
0
0
6

Game Statistics

General
Jaguars logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
242
281
Total Plays
63
70
Yards / Play
3.8
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.27
Passing Yards
149
134
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
15/39(38%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
3.4
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.57
Rushing Yards
93
147
Rush Attempts
34
29
Yards / Rush
2.7
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
Jaguars logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
13
16
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
44%
28%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
18
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Jaguars logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.15
-13.23
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
-0.73
-6.95
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
87
72
Penalty EPA
-9.82
-11.82

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
JAX logo
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Jaguars Offense vs Raiders Defense
Jaguars logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
29
31
Yards / Game
21
30
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
15
23

EPA

EPA / Play
22
31
EPA / Pass
18
32
EPA / Rush
19
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
27
Interceptions / Game
4
29
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
21
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
32
4th Down Efficiency
12
16
RZ Efficiency
31
32
Raiders Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Raiders logo
Jaguars logo

Total

Points / Game
19
7
Yards / Game
17
11
Passing Yards / Game
4
9
Rushing Yards / Game
32
11

EPA

EPA / Play
13
14
EPA / Pass
19
20
EPA / Rush
22
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
23
Interceptions / Game
29
17
Fumbles / Game
23
10
Turnover EPA / Game
9
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
14
17
RZ Efficiency
21
1

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

JAX logo

Jaguars

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/17
6
W
W
P
10/24
3
W
W
P
10/31
-14
L
L
P
11/14
6
W
W
P
11/21
-3
L
L
P
11/28
-11
L
L
P
12/05
-1
L
W
P
12/12
19
W
W
P
12/19
3
W
W
P
12/26
-21
L
L
P
OAK logo

Raiders

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/17
-28
L
L
P
10/24
-5
L
L
P
10/31
-28
L
L
P
11/07
3
W
W
P
11/21
-6
L
L
P
11/28
1
W
W
P
12/05
-7
L
L
P
12/12
-25
L
L
P
12/19
5
W
W
P
12/25
-1
L
W
P