JAXJaguars
5-2
24
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
041
NOSaints
3-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
17
0
0
7
24
Saints
17
7
8
3
35
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
432
538
Total Plays
58
75
Yards / Play
7.4
7.2
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.21
Passing Yards
344
435
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
35/49(71%)
Yards / Pass
10.4
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.34
Rushing Yards
88
103
Rush Attempts
23
25
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
32
Passing 1st downs
13
25
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
25%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.19
-5.35
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-10
-10
Sack EPA
-2.63
-5.35
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
38
20
Penalty EPA
-2.54
-4.18
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
25
Yards / Game
8
26
Passing Yards / Game
20
25
Rushing Yards / Game
2
13
EPA
EPA / Play
4
23
EPA / Pass
4
30
EPA / Rush
1
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
32
Interceptions / Game
2
28
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
22
4th Down Efficiency
8
7
RZ Efficiency
9
15
Saints Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
11
Yards / Game
5
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
26
Rushing Yards / Game
28
11
EPA
EPA / Play
14
18
EPA / Pass
10
19
EPA / Rush
17
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
18
Interceptions / Game
20
4
Fumbles / Game
19
12
Turnover EPA / Game
10
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
21
4th Down Efficiency
17
14
RZ Efficiency
1
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U