JAXJaguars
3-2
23
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
56°F
15 mph
17
PITSteelers
3-1
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
56°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
3
7
0
17
Steelers
0
8
0
3
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
246
218
Total Plays
73
60
Yards / Play
3.4
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.38
Passing Yards
153
145
Comp/Att
19/35(54%)
11/28(39%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.08
-0.49
Rushing Yards
93
73
Rush Attempts
35
30
Yards / Rush
2.7
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
6
3rd Down %
37%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
7
1
3rd Down Attempts
19
12
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.19
-17.27
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-24
-9
Sack EPA
-3.97
-2.28
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
106
80
Penalty EPA
-12.56
-13.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
3
Yards / Game
16
7
Passing Yards / Game
18
29
Rushing Yards / Game
10
3
EPA
EPA / Play
13
6
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
11
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
19
Interceptions / Game
1
14
Fumbles / Game
17
6
Turnover EPA / Game
29
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
21
4th Down Efficiency
25
14
RZ Efficiency
9
7
Steelers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
8
Yards / Game
14
5
Passing Yards / Game
24
21
Rushing Yards / Game
5
13
EPA
EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
2
11
EPA / Rush
8
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
16
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
4
31
Turnover EPA / Game
28
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
3
4th Down Efficiency
12
2
RZ Efficiency
4
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U