JAXJaguars
4-5
24
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
021
HOUTexans
2-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
10
7
0
24
Texans
0
7
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
321
272
Total Plays
58
62
Yards / Play
5.5
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.05
Passing Yards
199
194
Comp/Att
15/25(60%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.21
Rushing Yards
122
78
Rush Attempts
28
28
Yards / Rush
4.4
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
33%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+2.45
-6.39
Sacks
5
4
Sack Yards
-25
-34
Sack EPA
-5.95
-1.88
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
62
--
Penalty EPA
-6.27
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
25
15
Passing Yards / Game
26
1
Rushing Yards / Game
9
28
EPA
EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
30
7
EPA / Rush
32
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
1
26
Fumbles / Game
3
17
Turnover EPA / Game
31
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
32
7
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
7
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
30
20
Rushing Yards / Game
31
25
EPA
EPA / Play
31
23
EPA / Pass
32
21
EPA / Rush
31
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
9
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
19
4th Down Efficiency
24
20
RZ Efficiency
27
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
2-7
SU
4-4-1
ATS
0-0-9
O/U