JAXJaguars
10-4
38
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
020
HOUTexans
2-12
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
3
7
21
38
Texans
3
10
0
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
448
370
Total Plays
67
62
Yards / Play
6.7
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.03
Passing Yards
276
263
Comp/Att
18/31(58%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
9.1
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.22
Rushing Yards
172
107
Rush Attempts
33
29
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.33
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
30
18
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
5
1
3rd Down %
45%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
80%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.50
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-16
-32
Sack EPA
-3.96
-7.10
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
50
40
Penalty EPA
-6.21
-7.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
32
Yards / Game
16
31
Passing Yards / Game
18
22
Rushing Yards / Game
10
32
EPA
EPA / Play
13
32
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
11
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
1
Interceptions / Game
1
31
Fumbles / Game
17
27
Turnover EPA / Game
29
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
9
30
Texans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
8
Yards / Game
30
5
Passing Yards / Game
29
21
Rushing Yards / Game
14
13
EPA
EPA / Play
20
5
EPA / Pass
29
11
EPA / Rush
10
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
16
Interceptions / Game
7
8
Fumbles / Game
12
31
Turnover EPA / Game
25
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
25
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
8-2
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U