JAXJaguars
5-3
28
TBD
Nissan Stadium
62°F
11 mph
13
TENTitans
6-2
TBD
Nissan Stadium
62°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
7
7
7
7
28
Titans
0
3
3
7
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
262
292
Total Plays
68
64
Yards / Play
3.9
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.28
Passing Yards
96
230
Comp/Att
13/23(57%)
24/41(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.18
Rushing Yards
166
62
Rush Attempts
44
19
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.41
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.78
-11.94
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-5
-27
Sack EPA
-1.18
-5.65
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
35
56
Penalty EPA
-2.98
-8.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
6
Yards / Game
8
4
Passing Yards / Game
20
17
Rushing Yards / Game
2
4
EPA
EPA / Play
4
7
EPA / Pass
4
5
EPA / Rush
1
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
19
Interceptions / Game
2
2
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
30
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
17
RZ Efficiency
9
28
Titans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
11
Yards / Game
21
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
26
Rushing Yards / Game
4
11
EPA
EPA / Play
21
18
EPA / Pass
18
19
EPA / Rush
24
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
18
Interceptions / Game
18
4
Fumbles / Game
30
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
21
4th Down Efficiency
32
14
RZ Efficiency
32
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U