NYJJets
1-1
28
TBD
New Era Field
65°F
20 mph
20
BUFBills
1-1
TBD
New Era Field
65°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
14
1
7
22
Bills
7
3
0
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
256
475
Total Plays
54
73
Yards / Play
4.7
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.06
Passing Yards
182
306
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
22/39(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.32
Rushing Yards
74
169
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
3.1
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
26
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
33%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-17.92
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-1
-22
Sack EPA
-1.48
-16.34
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
52
43
Penalty EPA
-6.96
-8.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
9
Yards / Game
24
18
Passing Yards / Game
9
6
Rushing Yards / Game
20
27
EPA
EPA / Play
10
10
EPA / Pass
11
9
EPA / Rush
22
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
6
Interceptions / Game
16
24
Fumbles / Game
7
25
Turnover EPA / Game
20
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
12
4th Down Efficiency
28
28
RZ Efficiency
24
20
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
10
Yards / Game
30
21
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
27
23
EPA
EPA / Play
21
25
EPA / Pass
18
13
EPA / Rush
25
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
17
Interceptions / Game
11
21
Fumbles / Game
28
21
Turnover EPA / Game
16
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
17
4th Down Efficiency
20
17
RZ Efficiency
25
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U