NYJJets
6-1
20
TBD
New Era Field
46°F
6 mph
23
BUFBills
3-3
TBD
New Era Field
46°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
7
0
10
3
20
Bills
7
4
0
6
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
337
338
Total Plays
58
64
Yards / Play
5.8
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.02
Passing Yards
286
252
Comp/Att
28/37(76%)
18/35(51%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.01
Rushing Yards
51
86
Rush Attempts
20
29
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
57%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-20.52
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-1
Sack EPA
-4.15
-0.70
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
20
45
Penalty EPA
-2.61
+1.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
22
Yards / Game
11
4
Passing Yards / Game
19
7
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
23
19
EPA / Pass
15
12
EPA / Rush
26
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
3
Interceptions / Game
30
17
Fumbles / Game
13
11
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
12
4th Down Efficiency
3
23
RZ Efficiency
10
12
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
12
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
11
Rushing Yards / Game
10
23
EPA
EPA / Play
24
8
EPA / Pass
13
8
EPA / Rush
23
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
1
7
Fumbles / Game
11
16
Turnover EPA / Game
31
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
20
4th Down Efficiency
2
12
RZ Efficiency
17
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U