NYJJets
1-0
10
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
030
DALCowboys
1-0
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
10
0
0
10
Cowboys
7
11
6
6
30
Spread
-8
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
215
384
Total Plays
46
84
Yards / Play
4.7
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.44
+0.07
Passing Yards
151
248
Comp/Att
12/27(44%)
31/38(82%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.68
+0.27
Rushing Yards
64
136
Rush Attempts
16
45
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.49
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
26
Passing 1st downs
6
16
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
10%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
9
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-19.72
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-19
-7
Sack EPA
-5.03
-1.60
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
29
38
Penalty EPA
-6.33
-8.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model77.5%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-8.0
Expected Value
+2.4%
Cover Probability
51.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+242
Home nfelo
1,621
Away nfelo
1,506
Home Field
+50.7
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
+76.5
Home QB Adjustment
-0.5
Away QB Adjustment
-77.0
Market Regression
+67.7
Final Difference
214.5
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
Z. Wilson
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-77.0
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-0.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
9
Yards / Game
31
7
Passing Yards / Game
30
12
Rushing Yards / Game
22
18
EPA
EPA / Play
31
9
EPA / Pass
32
7
EPA / Rush
32
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
17
Interceptions / Game
22
11
Fumbles / Game
32
18
Turnover EPA / Game
3
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
17
4th Down Efficiency
8
20
RZ Efficiency
32
22
Cowboys Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
10
Yards / Game
4
2
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
15
25
EPA
EPA / Play
2
4
EPA / Pass
3
3
EPA / Rush
7
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
4
Interceptions / Game
13
5
Fumbles / Game
4
13
Turnover EPA / Game
17
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
12
4th Down Efficiency
15
5
RZ Efficiency
12
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U