NYJJets
0-3
6
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
68°F
10 mph
31
PHIEagles
2-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
68°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
0
0
6
6
Eagles
8
7
3
1
19
Spread
-14
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
128
265
Total Plays
56
59
Yards / Play
2.3
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.60
-0.10
Passing Yards
61
181
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
2.3
6.2
EPA / Pass
-1.30
-0.00
Rushing Yards
67
84
Rush Attempts
19
29
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
17
Passing 1st downs
5
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
21%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-13.99
--
Sacks
10
1
Sack Yards
-59
-8
Sack EPA
-21.30
-1.33
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
52
76
Penalty EPA
-4.64
+2.47
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+304
Home nfelo
1,536
Away nfelo
1,356
Home Field
+31.8
Base HFA
+55.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-43.3
Surface Adj
+19.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+91.9
Home QB Adjustment
+5.4
Away QB Adjustment
-86.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
334.9
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
L. Falk
Proj. Value
-7.6
Team Elo Adj
-86.5
Value
Ptile
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+5.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
15
Yards / Game
32
10
Passing Yards / Game
19
28
Rushing Yards / Game
31
3
EPA
EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
31
20
EPA / Rush
31
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
16
Interceptions / Game
23
24
Fumbles / Game
18
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
5
4th Down Efficiency
27
27
RZ Efficiency
21
14
Eagles Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
16
Yards / Game
13
7
Passing Yards / Game
8
21
Rushing Yards / Game
11
2
EPA
EPA / Play
12
9
EPA / Pass
17
19
EPA / Rush
16
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
4
Interceptions / Game
5
18
Fumbles / Game
28
20
Turnover EPA / Game
19
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
15
4th Down Efficiency
30
2
RZ Efficiency
8
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U