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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ jaguars week 5, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYJ logo
NYJJets
2-2
0
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
75°F
5 mph
41
JAXJaguars
2-2
JAX logo
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
75°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
0
0
0
0
Jaguars
14
14
10
3
41

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Jaguars logo
Total Yards
177
312
Total Plays
58
60
Yards / Play
3.1
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.55
+0.17
Passing Yards
45
131
Comp/Att
10/18(56%)
9/20(45%)
Yards / Pass
2.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
-1.10
+0.25
Rushing Yards
132
181
Rush Attempts
34
39
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.29
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Jaguars logo
1st Downs
11
19
Passing 1st downs
3
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
21%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
5
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Jaguars logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-14.27
--
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-26
-9
Sack EPA
-6.42
+1.24
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
59
62
Penalty EPA
-7.36
-6.87

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Jets logo
Jaguars logo

Total

Points / Game
19
4
Yards / Game
24
2
Passing Yards / Game
9
11
Rushing Yards / Game
20
4

EPA

EPA / Play
10
3
EPA / Pass
11
3
EPA / Rush
22
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
20
Interceptions / Game
16
6
Fumbles / Game
7
29
Turnover EPA / Game
20
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
11
4th Down Efficiency
28
1
RZ Efficiency
24
6
Jaguars Offense vs Jets Defense
Jaguars logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
9
10
Yards / Game
10
21
Passing Yards / Game
17
22
Rushing Yards / Game
3
23

EPA

EPA / Play
11
25
EPA / Pass
17
13
EPA / Rush
2
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
17
17
Interceptions / Game
11
21
Fumbles / Game
2
21
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
17
4th Down Efficiency
14
17
RZ Efficiency
9
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/27
-2
L
L
P
12/04
-13
L
L
P
12/11
16
W
W
P
12/18
-4
L
W
P
12/26
-10
L
L
P
01/01
4
W
W
P
09/10
7
W
W
P
09/17
-7
L
L
P
09/24
8
W
W
P
10/01
-3
L
W
P
JAX logo

Jaguars

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/04
6
W
W
P
12/11
-8
L
L
P
12/18
1
W
L
P
12/24
18
W
W
P
01/01
27
W
W
P
01/07
-25
L
L
P
09/10
7
W
W
P
09/18
9
W
W
P
09/24
-7
L
L
P
10/01
-6
L
L
P