NYJJets
4-1
34
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
76°F
10 mph
17
NEPatriots
2-4
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
76°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
8
10
7
3
28
Patriots
3
7
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
249
Total Plays
69
61
Yards / Play
4.3
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.34
Passing Yards
130
195
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
18/40(45%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.69
Rushing Yards
164
51
Rush Attempts
43
14
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
16
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
33%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
60%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
6
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-4.62
-24.45
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-9
-46
Sack EPA
-7.10
-11.58
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
68
30
Penalty EPA
-4.47
-3.48
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
17
Yards / Game
11
19
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
23
17
EPA / Pass
15
24
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
8
Interceptions / Game
30
29
Fumbles / Game
13
16
Turnover EPA / Game
2
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
28
4th Down Efficiency
3
31
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
14
11
Rushing Yards / Game
26
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
8
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
30
Interceptions / Game
10
7
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
21
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
20
4th Down Efficiency
12
12
RZ Efficiency
24
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U