NYJJets
7-7
30
TBD
Gillette Stadium
40°F
20 mph
17
NEPatriots
8-6
TBD
Gillette Stadium
40°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
14
3
3
10
30
Patriots
7
3
7
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
393
216
Total Plays
65
62
Yards / Play
6.0
3.5
EPA / Play
+0.26
-0.02
Passing Yards
--
119
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
19/37(51%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.2
EPA / Pass
+0.47
-0.42
Rushing Yards
108
97
Rush Attempts
31
23
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
40%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+4.82
-3.23
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-3.43
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
60
30
Penalty EPA
-1.58
-4.74
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
15
Yards / Game
23
23
Passing Yards / Game
13
7
Rushing Yards / Game
21
31
EPA
EPA / Play
3
19
EPA / Pass
4
8
EPA / Rush
13
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
23
Interceptions / Game
2
12
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
29
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
26
4th Down Efficiency
29
27
RZ Efficiency
3
31
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
9
Yards / Game
22
22
Passing Yards / Game
21
15
Rushing Yards / Game
28
17
EPA
EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
18
25
EPA / Rush
16
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
20
Interceptions / Game
9
19
Fumbles / Game
5
27
Turnover EPA / Game
26
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
27
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
16
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U