NYJJets
4-2
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
68°F
8 mph
34
OAKRaiders
3-3
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
68°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
3
7
7
20
Raiders
7
14
10
3
34
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
366
451
Total Plays
71
61
Yards / Play
5.2
7.4
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.30
Passing Yards
292
--
Comp/Att
31/47(66%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.46
Rushing Yards
74
118
Rush Attempts
21
25
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
44%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.99
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-5.26
--
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
40
61
Penalty EPA
-1.19
-5.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model55.2%
Spread Pick
Raiders+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-1
Home nfelo
1,420
Away nfelo
1,511
Home Field
+94.9
Base HFA
+62.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.7
Time Adj
+11.1
Net QB Adjustment
-4.8
Home QB Adjustment
+18.5
Away QB Adjustment
+23.3
Market Regression
-7.3
Final Difference
-36.2
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+23.3
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+18.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
22
Yards / Game
10
22
Passing Yards / Game
15
19
Rushing Yards / Game
10
13
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
9
14
EPA / Rush
15
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
21
Interceptions / Game
22
15
Fumbles / Game
15
15
Turnover EPA / Game
24
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
11
4th Down Efficiency
25
19
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
24
4
Passing Yards / Game
26
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
2
EPA
EPA / Play
19
4
EPA / Pass
21
9
EPA / Rush
20
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
31
Interceptions / Game
17
5
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
12
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
3
4th Down Efficiency
27
21
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U