nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ ravens week 12, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYJ logo
NYJJets
2-8
10
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
3 mph
23
BALRavens
5-5
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
54°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
7
0
3
10
Ravens
0
3
14
6
23

Spread

NYJ logo
+13.5

Total

UNDER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
282
241
Total Plays
57
58
Yards / Play
4.9
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.14
+0.11
Passing Yards
204
143
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
13/23(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.00
Rushing Yards
78
98
Rush Attempts
26
34
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.40
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
15
16
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
36%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.79
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-18
-10
Sack EPA
-3.73
-1.89
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
81
30
Penalty EPA
-10.77
-3.61

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-13.5
Model
-13.5

Win Probability

Market86.2%
Model86.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+302
Home nfelo
1,603
Away nfelo
1,378
Home Field
+58.0
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+19.1
Home QB Adjustment
-3.4
Away QB Adjustment
-22.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
318.3
Model Spread
-13.5

Quarterbacks

T. Taylor headshot

T. Taylor

Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-22.6
Value
Ptile
11/07
-12.3
1
11/21
0.5
56
11/28
-5.9
15
12/05
-10.5
3
10/15
-0.2
47
10/22
1.4
59
10/29
-6.0
14
12/31
-0.7
45
01/07
3.8
75
09/21
-0.8
44
L. Jackson headshot

L. Jackson

Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-3.4
Value
Ptile
01/04
5.8
83
01/11
7.2
91
01/19
4.3
77
09/07
8.0
94
09/14
4.3
79
09/22
1.8
63
09/28
-2.0
36
10/30
4.3
78
11/09
-0.1
50
11/16
-8.6
4

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Ravens Defense
Jets logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
28
25
Passing Yards / Game
32
29
Rushing Yards / Game
7
11

EPA

EPA / Play
27
14
EPA / Pass
29
21
EPA / Rush
24
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
11
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
10
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
9
4th Down Efficiency
28
19
RZ Efficiency
31
5
Ravens Offense vs Jets Defense
Ravens logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
11
30
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
27

EPA

EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
25
31
EPA / Rush
1
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
2
Interceptions / Game
11
32
Fumbles / Game
28
29
Turnover EPA / Game
7
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
17
32
RZ Efficiency
29
24

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
-2
L
W
O
09/14
-20
L
L
U
09/21
-2
L
W
O
09/29
-6
L
L
O
10/05
-15
L
L
O
10/12
-2
L
W
U
10/19
-7
L
L
U
10/26
1
W
W
O
11/09
7
W
W
O
11/13
-13
L
L
U
BAL logo

Ravens

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
-1
L
L
O
09/14
24
W
W
O
09/22
-8
L
L
O
09/28
-17
L
L
O
10/05
-34
L
L
O
10/12
-14
L
L
U
10/26
14
W
W
O
10/30
22
W
W
U
11/09
8
W
W
U
11/16
7
W
L
O