NYJJets
1-2
24
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
70°F
020
PITSteelers
1-2
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
7
0
14
24
Steelers
0
6
7
7
20
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
348
297
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
5.2
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.07
Passing Yards
250
178
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.20
Rushing Yards
98
119
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
4
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.82
-11.93
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-26
Sack EPA
-1.21
-4.44
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
64
55
Penalty EPA
-6.29
-4.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model64.5%
Spread Pick
Steelers-3.0
Expected Value
+7.0%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+146
Home nfelo
1,422
Away nfelo
1,337
Home Field
+51.8
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+9.9
Home QB Adjustment
-3.1
Away QB Adjustment
-13.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
104.0
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
Z. Wilson
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-13.0
M. Trubisky
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-3.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
10
Yards / Game
25
11
Passing Yards / Game
10
8
Rushing Yards / Game
25
9
EPA
EPA / Play
29
24
EPA / Pass
26
29
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
18
Interceptions / Game
17
1
Fumbles / Game
11
31
Turnover EPA / Game
11
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
16
4th Down Efficiency
26
26
RZ Efficiency
31
16
Steelers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
2
Yards / Game
23
4
Passing Yards / Game
20
14
Rushing Yards / Game
16
17
EPA
EPA / Play
19
4
EPA / Pass
16
5
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
13
Interceptions / Game
17
19
Fumbles / Game
1
31
Turnover EPA / Game
26
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
3
8
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Steelers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U