NYJJets
0-1
24
TBD
Nissan Stadium
80°F
13 mph
17
TENTitans
0-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
80°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
7
10
7
24
Titans
7
3
7
0
17
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
300
Total Plays
56
60
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.09
Passing Yards
164
170
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.23
Rushing Yards
101
130
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
42%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-6.56
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-12
-22
Sack EPA
-3.14
-8.21
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
70
45
Penalty EPA
-9.85
-6.50
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model61.1%
Spread Pick
Titans+3.5
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-25
Home nfelo
1,447
Away nfelo
1,487
Home Field
+54.6
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.3
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
-39.1
Home QB Adjustment
-14.0
Away QB Adjustment
+25.1
Market Regression
-1.1
Final Difference
-78.0
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+2.1
Team Elo Adj
+25.1
W. Levis
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-14.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
30
Yards / Game
24
3
Passing Yards / Game
5
5
Rushing Yards / Game
31
25
EPA
EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
18
18
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
6
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
22
4th Down Efficiency
28
31
RZ Efficiency
21
24
Titans Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
19
Yards / Game
26
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17
EPA
EPA / Play
30
24
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
29
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
17
Interceptions / Game
31
27
Fumbles / Game
27
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
24
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U