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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ titans week 2, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYJ logo
NYJJets
0-1
24
TBD
Nissan Stadium
80°F
13 mph
17
TENTitans
0-1
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
80°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
7
10
7
24
Titans
7
3
7
0
17

Spread

NYJ logo
-3.5

Total

UNDER
41.5

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
265
300
Total Plays
56
60
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.09
Passing Yards
164
170
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.23
Rushing Yards
101
130
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
9
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
42%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-6.56
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-12
-22
Sack EPA
-3.14
-8.21
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
70
45
Penalty EPA
-9.85
-6.50

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market62.9%
Model61.0%
Spread Pick
TEN logo
Titans+3.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-22
Home nfelo
1,446
Away nfelo
1,484
Home Field
+54.6
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.3
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
-39.1
Home QB Adjustment
-14.0
Away QB Adjustment
+25.1
Market Regression
-1.6
Final Difference
-77.5
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

A. Rodgers headshot

A. Rodgers

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+25.1
Value
Ptile
11/13
4.6
83
11/17
1.7
65
11/27
-4.5
21
12/04
-1.0
45
12/19
-2.1
36
12/25
-2.6
30
01/01
-0.4
49
01/08
-4.7
20
09/11
-7.0
11
09/09
-2.9
28
W. Levis headshot

W. Levis

Proj. Value
-4.3
Team Elo Adj
-14.0
Value
Ptile
10/29
3.6
73
11/02
-5.2
18
11/12
-10.4
2
11/19
-1.0
44
11/26
-2.0
35
12/03
-6.3
12
12/11
2.0
63
12/17
-6.4
12
12/31
-8.2
8
09/08
-6.5
10

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Titans Defense
Jets logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
24
30
Yards / Game
24
3
Passing Yards / Game
5
5
Rushing Yards / Game
31
25

EPA

EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
18
18
EPA / Rush
21
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
6
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
22
4th Down Efficiency
28
31
RZ Efficiency
21
24
Titans Offense vs Jets Defense
Titans logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
27
19
Yards / Game
26
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17

EPA

EPA / Play
30
24
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
29
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
17
Interceptions / Game
31
27
Fumbles / Game
27
7
Turnover EPA / Game
2
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
14
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
24
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
-4
L
L
U
11/19
-26
L
L
U
11/24
-21
L
L
O
12/03
-5
L
L
U
12/10
24
W
W
O
12/17
-30
L
L
U
12/24
2
W
L
O
12/28
-17
L
L
O
01/07
14
W
W
U
09/09
-13
L
L
O
TEN logo

Titans

3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
-14
L
L
U
11/19
-20
L
L
O
11/26
7
W
W
U
12/03
-3
L
L
O
12/11
1
W
W
O
12/17
-3
L
L
U
12/24
-3
L
P
U
12/31
-23
L
L
U
01/07
8
W
W
O
09/08
-7
L
L
U