NYJ logo
NYJ
2-1
13
38
TEN
2-1
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
74°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
6
0
7
13
Titans
10
14
0
8
32

Spread

TEN logo
-3.5

Total

OVER
40.5

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
330
322
Total Plays
62
65
Yards / Play
5.3
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.11
Passing Yards
239
244
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.24
+0.41
Rushing Yards
91
78
Rush Attempts
23
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
11
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
31%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
4
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
NaN%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
4
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-21.25
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-50
-13
Sack EPA
-13.64
-2.17
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
66
30
Penalty EPA
-6.59
-3.70

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+83
Home nfelo
1,444
Away nfelo
1,456
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-1.1
Home QB Adjustment
+4.0
Away QB Adjustment
+5.1
Market Regression
-35.1
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+5.1

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Titans Defense
Jets logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
25
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
8
Rushing Yards / Game
6
19

EPA

EPA / Play
29
22
EPA / Pass
30
15
EPA / Rush
18
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
23
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
5
1
Turnover EPA / Game
6
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
6
4th Down Efficiency
32
27
RZ Efficiency
26
27
Titans Offense vs Jets Defense
Titans logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
18
19
Yards / Game
21
11
Passing Yards / Game
15
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
2

EPA

EPA / Play
16
16
EPA / Pass
13
25
EPA / Rush
12
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
6
Interceptions / Game
18
22
Fumbles / Game
5
32
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
13
4th Down Efficiency
7
10
RZ Efficiency
9
4