NYJJets
7-4
22
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
027
MINVikings
9-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
3
6
10
22
Vikings
3
17
0
7
27
Spread
-2.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
486
287
Total Plays
83
66
Yards / Play
5.9
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.01
Passing Yards
366
159
Comp/Att
31/58(53%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.15
-0.05
Rushing Yards
120
128
Rush Attempts
24
29
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.18
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
21
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
19%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
16
18
Red Zone %
17%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.47
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-3
-14
Sack EPA
-1.36
-4.04
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
40
44
Penalty EPA
-5.22
-4.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model61.8%
Spread Pick
Vikings-2.5
Expected Value
+12.4%
Cover Probability
58.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+129
Home nfelo
1,548
Away nfelo
1,462
Home Field
+33.0
Base HFA
+40.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+9.7
Home QB Adjustment
-8.6
Away QB Adjustment
-18.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
83.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
M. White
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-18.2
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-8.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
30
Yards / Game
25
31
Passing Yards / Game
10
26
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21
EPA
EPA / Play
29
26
EPA / Pass
26
27
EPA / Rush
22
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
11
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
11
24
Turnover EPA / Game
11
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
15
4th Down Efficiency
26
6
RZ Efficiency
31
22
Vikings Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
2
Yards / Game
5
4
Passing Yards / Game
3
14
Rushing Yards / Game
29
17
EPA
EPA / Play
17
4
EPA / Pass
10
5
EPA / Rush
28
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
13
Interceptions / Game
21
19
Fumbles / Game
18
31
Turnover EPA / Game
10
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
8
RZ Efficiency
8
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-4-1
O/U