DETLions
3-7
17
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
45°F
4 mph
20
CHIBears
2-8
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
45°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Lions
0
3
14
0
0
17
Bears
0
7
0
10
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
422
Total Plays
71
79
Yards / Play
4.2
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.07
Passing Yards
199
347
Comp/Att
21/40(53%)
31/51(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.08
Rushing Yards
102
75
Rush Attempts
29
25
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
12
19
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
44%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.83
-3.64
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-14
-14
Sack EPA
-3.63
-4.34
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
50
64
Penalty EPA
-1.25
-6.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
25
Yards / Game
28
25
Passing Yards / Game
32
28
Rushing Yards / Game
29
27
EPA
EPA / Play
28
21
EPA / Pass
29
26
EPA / Rush
24
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
7
Interceptions / Game
31
30
Fumbles / Game
2
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
25
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
31
Yards / Game
29
31
Passing Yards / Game
17
24
Rushing Yards / Game
32
19
EPA
EPA / Play
27
25
EPA / Pass
27
29
EPA / Rush
27
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
32
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
25
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
29
4th Down Efficiency
18
30
RZ Efficiency
8
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U