DETLions
8-5
10
TBD
Soldier Field
35°F
5 mph
28
CHIBears
5-8
TBD
Soldier Field
35°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
3
0
0
7
10
Bears
0
14
7
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
396
Total Plays
60
68
Yards / Play
5.7
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.06
Passing Yards
236
279
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
27/35(77%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.24
+0.35
Rushing Yards
103
104
Rush Attempts
19
32
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
27
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.82
-5.19
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-17
-9
Sack EPA
-3.42
-4.37
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
43
62
Penalty EPA
-3.31
-3.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
18
Yards / Game
20
30
Passing Yards / Game
10
23
Rushing Yards / Game
28
24
EPA
EPA / Play
20
16
EPA / Pass
16
23
EPA / Rush
22
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
18
Interceptions / Game
8
23
Fumbles / Game
3
7
Turnover EPA / Game
28
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
28
4th Down Efficiency
22
1
RZ Efficiency
11
10
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
16
Yards / Game
8
20
Passing Yards / Game
2
30
Rushing Yards / Game
25
15
EPA
EPA / Play
27
12
EPA / Pass
17
18
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
1
Interceptions / Game
27
17
Fumbles / Game
29
6
Turnover EPA / Game
6
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
25
4th Down Efficiency
18
6
RZ Efficiency
28
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U