nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. lions @ bills week 8, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

DET logo
DETLions
2-4
17
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
18 mph
24
BUFBills
4-3
BUF logo
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
18 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
14
0
3
17
Bills
7
7
10
0
24

Game Statistics

General
Lions logo
Bills logo
Total Yards
282
343
Total Plays
66
64
Yards / Play
4.3
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.02
Passing Yards
--
269
Comp/Att
20/42(48%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.14
Rushing Yards
83
74
Rush Attempts
24
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
Lions logo
Bills logo
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
33%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Lions logo
Bills logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-0.56
-8.38
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-33
Sack EPA
--
-7.68
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
71
51
Penalty EPA
-7.62
-4.11

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DET logo
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Lions Offense vs Bills Defense
Lions logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
28
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
6
Rushing Yards / Game
29
29

EPA

EPA / Play
28
26
EPA / Pass
29
17
EPA / Rush
24
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
31
26
Fumbles / Game
2
24
Turnover EPA / Game
10
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
22
11
RZ Efficiency
29
32
Bills Offense vs Lions Defense
Bills logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
12
31
Yards / Game
9
31
Passing Yards / Game
1
24
Rushing Yards / Game
23
19

EPA

EPA / Play
11
25
EPA / Pass
7
29
EPA / Rush
22
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
32
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
21
6
Turnover EPA / Game
5
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
11
30
RZ Efficiency
15
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DET logo

Lions

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/16
3
W
W
P
12/23
-33
L
L
P
12/30
-24
L
L
P
01/06
5
W
W
P
09/08
-28
L
L
P
09/15
-24
L
L
P
09/22
-6
L
W
P
09/29
5
W
W
P
10/13
-7
L
L
P
10/20
3
W
W
P
BUF logo

Bills

5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/23
-3
L
W
P
12/30
5
W
W
P
01/06
-27
L
L
P
09/08
-6
L
L
P
09/15
6
W
W
P
09/22
-5
L
W
P
09/29
6
W
W
P
10/06
-18
L
L
P
10/13
7
W
P
P
10/20
13
W
W
P