DETLions
2-4
17
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
18 mph
24
BUFBills
4-3
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
14
0
3
17
Bills
7
7
10
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
343
Total Plays
66
64
Yards / Play
4.3
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.02
Passing Yards
--
269
Comp/Att
20/42(48%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.14
Rushing Yards
83
74
Rush Attempts
24
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
33%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-0.56
-8.38
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-33
Sack EPA
--
-7.68
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
71
51
Penalty EPA
-7.62
-4.11
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
28
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
6
Rushing Yards / Game
29
29
EPA
EPA / Play
28
26
EPA / Pass
29
17
EPA / Rush
24
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
31
26
Fumbles / Game
2
24
Turnover EPA / Game
10
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
9
4th Down Efficiency
22
11
RZ Efficiency
29
32
Bills Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
31
Yards / Game
9
31
Passing Yards / Game
1
24
Rushing Yards / Game
23
19
EPA
EPA / Play
11
25
EPA / Pass
7
29
EPA / Rush
22
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
32
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
21
6
Turnover EPA / Game
5
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
11
30
RZ Efficiency
15
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U