DETLions
0-8
10
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
42°F
7 mph
13
CLEBrowns
5-5
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
42°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
7
3
10
Browns
0
13
0
0
13
Spread
+13
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
349
Total Plays
46
66
Yards / Play
5.3
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.25
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
165
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
15/29(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.53
-0.25
Rushing Yards
168
184
Rush Attempts
23
36
Yards / Rush
7.3
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
22
Passing 1st downs
5
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
27%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
NaN%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.28
-5.84
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-1.76
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
67
82
Penalty EPA
-4.87
-7.57
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-13.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model87.5%
Spread Pick
Browns-13.0
Expected Value
+10.2%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+379
Home nfelo
1,560
Away nfelo
1,355
Home Field
+53.6
Base HFA
+39.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+120.9
Home QB Adjustment
-17.5
Away QB Adjustment
-138.4
Market Regression
+26.8
Final Difference
337.7
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
T. Boyle
Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
-138.4
No recent game data available
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-17.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
14
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
25
8
Rushing Yards / Game
18
11
EPA
EPA / Play
23
21
EPA / Pass
21
11
EPA / Rush
25
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
6
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
20
30
Turnover EPA / Game
8
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
27
RZ Efficiency
31
28
Browns Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
31
Yards / Game
18
29
Passing Yards / Game
28
24
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
20
30
EPA / Pass
22
29
EPA / Rush
4
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
20
11
Turnover EPA / Game
21
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
29
4th Down Efficiency
30
28
RZ Efficiency
12
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
0-9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U