DETLions
8-4
16
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
79°F
7 mph
23
TBBuccaneers
8-4
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
79°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
10
0
3
3
16
Buccaneers
0
7
0
14
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
312
Total Plays
68
57
Yards / Play
3.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.01
Passing Yards
210
203
Comp/Att
23/44(52%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.13
Rushing Yards
55
41
Rush Attempts
20
19
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
17
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
41%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
25%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.25
-4.65
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-31
-26
Sack EPA
-4.49
-6.76
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
61
58
Penalty EPA
-4.95
-5.37
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
2
Yards / Game
20
3
Passing Yards / Game
10
5
Rushing Yards / Game
28
4
EPA
EPA / Play
20
1
EPA / Pass
16
1
EPA / Rush
22
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
13
Interceptions / Game
8
9
Fumbles / Game
3
20
Turnover EPA / Game
28
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
8
4th Down Efficiency
22
6
RZ Efficiency
11
1
Buccaneers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
28
20
Passing Yards / Game
30
30
Rushing Yards / Game
18
15
EPA
EPA / Play
29
12
EPA / Pass
28
18
EPA / Rush
28
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
25
6
Turnover EPA / Game
14
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
28
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U