DETLions
2-1
17
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
010
ATLFalcons
4-0
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
14
3
0
17
Falcons
0
7
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
227
279
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
3.8
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.23
Passing Yards
126
185
Comp/Att
16/24(67%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.04
-0.49
Rushing Yards
101
94
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
23%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+5.97
-13.23
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-20
-35
Sack EPA
-4.68
-12.86
Penalties
12
8
Penalty Yards
80
74
Penalty EPA
-8.11
-6.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
14
Yards / Game
24
15
Passing Yards / Game
19
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
9
EPA
EPA / Play
24
13
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
6
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
7
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
1
13
Turnover EPA / Game
29
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
25
24
RZ Efficiency
30
28
Falcons Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
20
20
Passing Yards / Game
28
11
Rushing Yards / Game
1
16
EPA
EPA / Play
17
16
EPA / Pass
30
21
EPA / Rush
2
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
17
Interceptions / Game
13
22
Fumbles / Game
25
21
Turnover EPA / Game
17
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
27
4th Down Efficiency
6
9
RZ Efficiency
12
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U