DETLions
3-5
14
TBD
Lambeau Field
50°F
6 mph
40
GBPackers
7-1
TBD
Lambeau Field
50°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
7
0
0
7
14
Packers
3
21
10
0
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
503
Total Plays
61
78
Yards / Play
5.9
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.11
Passing Yards
--
353
Comp/Att
20/44(45%)
29/42(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.4
EPA / Pass
-0.46
+0.40
Rushing Yards
126
150
Rush Attempts
17
34
Yards / Rush
7.4
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
24
Passing 1st downs
10
17
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
8%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-12.73
-8.78
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-2.46
Penalties
1
8
Penalty Yards
--
53
Penalty EPA
--
-5.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
28
7
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
24
EPA
EPA / Play
28
8
EPA / Pass
29
2
EPA / Rush
24
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
24
Interceptions / Game
31
4
Fumbles / Game
2
2
Turnover EPA / Game
10
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
5
4th Down Efficiency
22
5
RZ Efficiency
29
17
Packers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
12
31
Passing Yards / Game
8
24
Rushing Yards / Game
14
19
EPA
EPA / Play
19
25
EPA / Pass
17
29
EPA / Rush
19
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
32
Interceptions / Game
20
26
Fumbles / Game
19
6
Turnover EPA / Game
11
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
29
4th Down Efficiency
21
30
RZ Efficiency
18
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U