DETLions
4-5
0
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
7 mph
20
CARPanthers
3-7
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
0
0
0
Panthers
7
0
10
3
20
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
185
374
Total Plays
55
70
Yards / Play
3.4
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.47
-0.03
Passing Yards
145
258
Comp/Att
18/33(55%)
24/35(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
7.4
EPA / Pass
-0.34
-0.03
Rushing Yards
40
116
Rush Attempts
17
34
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.55
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
20
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
--
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
21%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
NaN%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.03
-10.06
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-33
--
Sack EPA
-7.54
-0.46
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
20
45
Penalty EPA
-2.69
-4.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model68.7%
Spread Pick
Lions-3.0
Expected Value
+10.7%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-191
Home nfelo
1,423
Away nfelo
1,447
Home Field
+8.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-175.0
Home QB Adjustment
-168.8
Away QB Adjustment
+6.2
Market Regression
-31.9
Final Difference
-136.6
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+6.2
P. Walker
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-168.8
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
18
Yards / Game
20
16
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
30
18
EPA
EPA / Play
20
25
EPA / Pass
18
21
EPA / Rush
29
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
16
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
12
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
31
4th Down Efficiency
24
21
RZ Efficiency
10
21
Panthers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
32
Yards / Game
21
32
Passing Yards / Game
20
32
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28
EPA
EPA / Play
16
32
EPA / Pass
21
32
EPA / Rush
13
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
10
Interceptions / Game
27
30
Fumbles / Game
12
27
Turnover EPA / Game
21
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
28
4th Down Efficiency
20
22
RZ Efficiency
28
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Panthers
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U