DETLions
2-9
21
TBD
Gillette Stadium
44°F
7 mph
28
NEPatriots
8-3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
44°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
10
6
3
19
Patriots
3
10
0
15
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
365
Total Plays
65
65
Yards / Play
5.6
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.07
Passing Yards
284
286
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.01
+0.10
Rushing Yards
77
79
Rush Attempts
22
24
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
23
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
42%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
9
Red Zone %
25%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
3
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-18.99
-12.59
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-30
-21
Sack EPA
-9.35
-3.32
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
70
72
Penalty EPA
-5.31
-11.76
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
2
Yards / Game
22
10
Passing Yards / Game
1
30
Rushing Yards / Game
32
5
EPA
EPA / Play
26
6
EPA / Pass
21
5
EPA / Rush
30
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
24
Interceptions / Game
28
4
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
2
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
10
4th Down Efficiency
24
2
RZ Efficiency
30
3
Patriots Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
30
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
16
8
Rushing Yards / Game
14
21
EPA
EPA / Play
4
24
EPA / Pass
6
30
EPA / Rush
11
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
2
Interceptions / Game
10
25
Fumbles / Game
25
4
Turnover EPA / Game
27
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
27
4th Down Efficiency
1
32
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U