DETLions
-
14
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
010
NOSaints
-
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
6
2
0
8
Saints
1
0
0
3
4
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
189
252
Total Plays
58
62
Yards / Play
3.3
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.48
-0.54
Passing Yards
89
146
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
18/33(55%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
4.4
EPA / Pass
-0.51
-0.30
Rushing Yards
100
106
Rush Attempts
33
25
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
13
Passing 1st downs
5
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
0%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-10.73
-16.68
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-11
-23
Sack EPA
-2.81
-1.39
Penalties
8
12
Penalty Yards
74
89
Penalty EPA
-4.75
-12.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
14
Yards / Game
27
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
20
9
EPA
EPA / Play
27
13
EPA / Pass
28
10
EPA / Rush
17
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
16
Interceptions / Game
20
9
Fumbles / Game
13
15
Turnover EPA / Game
9
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
24
4th Down Efficiency
18
6
RZ Efficiency
23
15
Saints Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
10
Yards / Game
12
14
Passing Yards / Game
9
12
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
13
3
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
15
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
5
Interceptions / Game
13
4
Fumbles / Game
17
5
Turnover EPA / Game
25
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
16
4th Down Efficiency
7
20
RZ Efficiency
14
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U