DETLions
4-10
13
TBD
Alamo Dome
70°F
012
NOSaints
3-11
TBD
Alamo Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
1
0
6
7
Saints
0
3
6
3
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
273
Total Plays
55
64
Yards / Play
5.1
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.13
Passing Yards
208
226
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.00
Rushing Yards
71
47
Rush Attempts
24
25
Yards / Rush
3.0
1.9
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.55
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
43%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.81
-7.96
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-7
Sack EPA
-0.46
-2.31
Penalties
11
4
Penalty Yards
65
17
Penalty EPA
-8.61
-4.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
28
Yards / Game
27
15
Passing Yards / Game
21
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27
EPA
EPA / Play
29
28
EPA / Pass
28
27
EPA / Rush
17
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
13
Interceptions / Game
23
27
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
9
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
26
4th Down Efficiency
21
31
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Saints Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
21
Yards / Game
20
20
Passing Yards / Game
5
12
Rushing Yards / Game
18
24
EPA
EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
25
18
EPA / Rush
26
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
21
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
20
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
27
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U