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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. lions @ titans week 17, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DET logo
DETLions
6-9
19
TBD
Nissan Stadium
62°F
7 mph
24
TENTitans
4-11
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
62°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
3
7
3
6
19
Titans
1
7
7
3
18

Game Statistics

General
Lions logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
434
312
Total Plays
78
59
Yards / Play
5.6
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.01
+0.02
Passing Yards
331
--
Comp/Att
33/50(66%)
18/33(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.15
Rushing Yards
103
95
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
Lions logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
17
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
25%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Lions logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-14.97
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-15
--
Sack EPA
-11.06
--
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
52
50
Penalty EPA
-9.57
-5.96

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DET logo
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Lions Offense vs Titans Defense
Lions logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
24
30
Yards / Game
24
27
Passing Yards / Game
19
21
Rushing Yards / Game
18
18

EPA

EPA / Play
24
28
EPA / Pass
25
26
EPA / Rush
6
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
1
21
Turnover EPA / Game
29
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
7
4th Down Efficiency
25
31
RZ Efficiency
30
20
Titans Offense vs Lions Defense
Titans logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
16
18
Yards / Game
11
20
Passing Yards / Game
13
11
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16

EPA

EPA / Play
15
16
EPA / Pass
17
21
EPA / Rush
15
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
17
Interceptions / Game
23
22
Fumbles / Game
26
21
Turnover EPA / Game
11
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
27
4th Down Efficiency
22
9
RZ Efficiency
11
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DET logo

Lions

3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/24
15
W
W
P
10/31
-10
L
L
P
11/07
-7
L
L
P
11/14
-6
L
L
P
11/21
-3
L
W
P
11/25
-32
L
L
P
12/05
14
W
W
P
12/12
-3
L
W
P
12/19
-1
L
W
P
12/26
6
W
P
P
TEN logo

Titans

2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/17
-10
L
L
P
10/24
-17
L
L
P
10/31
7
W
W
P
11/14
-2
L
L
P
11/21
3
W
W
P
11/28
-10
L
L
P
12/05
-27
L
L
P
12/13
-11
L
L
P
12/19
-5
L
L
P
12/25
-21
L
L
P