DETLions
3-7
14
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
024
MINVikings
6-4
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
1
7
8
Vikings
7
0
0
5
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
307
Total Plays
60
61
Yards / Play
4.0
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.53
-0.30
Passing Yards
--
186
Comp/Att
21/41(51%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.46
+0.02
Rushing Yards
74
121
Rush Attempts
19
28
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.55
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-22.09
-15.56
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-4.76
Penalties
5
11
Penalty Yards
--
95
Penalty EPA
--
-10.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
23
Yards / Game
32
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
29
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17
EPA
EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
29
13
EPA / Rush
30
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
4
Interceptions / Game
31
2
Fumbles / Game
1
30
Turnover EPA / Game
19
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
19
4th Down Efficiency
23
11
RZ Efficiency
21
28
Vikings Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
25
Yards / Game
1
24
Passing Yards / Game
1
9
Rushing Yards / Game
4
15
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
4
25
EPA / Rush
7
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
32
Interceptions / Game
6
15
Fumbles / Game
19
14
Turnover EPA / Game
18
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
26
4th Down Efficiency
23
26
RZ Efficiency
8
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U