GBPackers
0-1
18
TBD
New Era Field
81°F
8 mph
27
BUFBills
1-0
TBD
New Era Field
81°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
0
10
8
18
Bills
0
10
10
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
276
309
Total Plays
56
65
Yards / Play
4.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.13
Passing Yards
236
220
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.11
+0.32
Rushing Yards
40
89
Rush Attempts
16
34
Yards / Rush
2.5
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
20
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
17%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-6.47
+2.28
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-35
-39
Sack EPA
-7.04
-7.46
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
12
33
Penalty EPA
-1.65
+1.06
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
22
Yards / Game
14
4
Passing Yards / Game
3
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
6
EPA
EPA / Play
7
19
EPA / Pass
14
12
EPA / Rush
8
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
3
Interceptions / Game
13
17
Fumbles / Game
26
11
Turnover EPA / Game
18
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
8
23
RZ Efficiency
13
12
Bills Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
13
Yards / Game
8
15
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
10
7
EPA
EPA / Play
24
20
EPA / Pass
13
21
EPA / Rush
23
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
1
7
Fumbles / Game
11
30
Turnover EPA / Game
31
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
13
4th Down Efficiency
2
23
RZ Efficiency
17
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U