GBPackers
3-4
10
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
10 mph
24
BUFBills
2-5
TBD
New Era Field
47°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
0
7
3
10
Bills
3
1
0
14
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
427
184
Total Plays
79
48
Yards / Play
5.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.06
Passing Yards
280
64
Comp/Att
28/47(60%)
8/15(53%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.23
-0.41
Rushing Yards
147
120
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
11
Passing 1st downs
19
3
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
44%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-24.85
--
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-7
-38
Sack EPA
-2.77
-8.49
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
36
50
Penalty EPA
-3.14
-4.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
9
Yards / Game
9
18
Passing Yards / Game
11
6
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
27
10
EPA / Pass
15
9
EPA / Rush
29
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
6
Interceptions / Game
20
24
Fumbles / Game
26
25
Turnover EPA / Game
8
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
28
RZ Efficiency
31
20
Bills Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
25
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
27
Rushing Yards / Game
27
13
EPA
EPA / Play
21
12
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
25
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
28
Interceptions / Game
11
2
Fumbles / Game
28
22
Turnover EPA / Game
16
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
25
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U