GBPackers
2-1
40
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
040
DALCowboys
1-2
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Packers
7
6
7
17
3
40
Cowboys
0
14
7
14
3
38
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
489
436
Total Plays
79
67
Yards / Play
6.2
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.31
Passing Yards
325
319
Comp/Att
31/43(72%)
31/40(78%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.50
+0.56
Rushing Yards
164
117
Rush Attempts
35
26
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.15
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
32
26
Passing 1st downs
16
17
Rushing 1st downs
11
8
Penalty 1st downs
5
1
3rd Down %
71%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
83%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
5
4
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.84
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-2.84
-1.01
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
53
95
Penalty EPA
-6.28
-12.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model65.5%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+6.5
Expected Value
+6.1%
Cover Probability
55.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-68
Home nfelo
1,461
Away nfelo
1,595
Home Field
+52.1
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.5
Home QB Adjustment
+9.0
Away QB Adjustment
-4.5
Market Regression
+4.9
Final Difference
-111.0
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-4.5
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
11
32
Passing Yards / Game
15
26
Rushing Yards / Game
14
20
EPA
EPA / Play
6
32
EPA / Pass
2
32
EPA / Rush
14
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
24
Interceptions / Game
2
24
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
26
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
32
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
5
22
Cowboys Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
13
Yards / Game
1
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
21
Rushing Yards / Game
12
2
EPA
EPA / Play
4
19
EPA / Pass
6
19
EPA / Rush
9
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
17
Interceptions / Game
24
17
Fumbles / Game
18
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
4
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
8
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U