GBPackers
11-6
34
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
031
DALCowboys
13-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
14
7
6
34
Cowboys
3
10
0
18
31
Spread
+5
Total
OVER
52.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
413
431
Total Plays
63
65
Yards / Play
6.6
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.33
+0.22
Passing Yards
326
291
Comp/Att
28/43(65%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.32
+0.14
Rushing Yards
87
140
Rush Attempts
17
25
Yards / Rush
5.1
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.20
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
25
Passing 1st downs
18
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
55%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.47
-6.61
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-29
-11
Sack EPA
-2.93
-2.59
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
22
50
Penalty EPA
-2.90
-5.93
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model59.1%
Spread Pick
Packers+5.0
Expected Value
+15.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+14
Home nfelo
1,506
Away nfelo
1,574
Home Field
+93.8
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+16.4
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.0
Home QB Adjustment
+22.8
Away QB Adjustment
+35.8
Market Regression
+1.8
Final Difference
63.6
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+35.8
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+22.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
8
Yards / Game
7
16
Passing Yards / Game
6
26
Rushing Yards / Game
22
1
EPA
EPA / Play
3
15
EPA / Pass
3
20
EPA / Rush
8
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
24
Interceptions / Game
7
26
Fumbles / Game
12
14
Turnover EPA / Game
28
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
17
4th Down Efficiency
19
23
RZ Efficiency
7
18
Cowboys Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
25
Yards / Game
5
25
Passing Yards / Game
20
29
Rushing Yards / Game
2
10
EPA
EPA / Play
4
31
EPA / Pass
4
28
EPA / Rush
2
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
11
Interceptions / Game
4
8
Fumbles / Game
21
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
26
4th Down Efficiency
1
24
RZ Efficiency
6
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U
Cowboys
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U