GBPackers
5-4
13
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
2 mph
27
NYGGiants
3-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
59°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
6
0
7
13
Giants
7
3
10
1
21
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
394
334
Total Plays
54
63
Yards / Play
7.3
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.16
+0.07
Passing Yards
--
256
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.01
Rushing Yards
55
78
Rush Attempts
20
24
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.30
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.70
-3.77
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-23
Sack EPA
--
-5.66
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
38
30
Penalty EPA
-3.37
-2.58
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+96
Home nfelo
1,464
Away nfelo
1,618
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+177.9
Home QB Adjustment
-28.3
Away QB Adjustment
-206.2
Market Regression
-38.6
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
S. Tolzien
Proj. Value
-6.4
Team Elo Adj
-206.2
No recent game data available
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-28.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
4
8
Passing Yards / Game
5
2
Rushing Yards / Game
7
12
EPA
EPA / Play
8
7
EPA / Pass
10
8
EPA / Rush
4
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
20
Interceptions / Game
16
12
Fumbles / Game
8
5
Turnover EPA / Game
13
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
22
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
25
15
Giants Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
24
Yards / Game
29
24
Passing Yards / Game
13
29
Rushing Yards / Game
29
25
EPA
EPA / Play
32
28
EPA / Pass
28
26
EPA / Rush
32
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
8
Interceptions / Game
32
26
Fumbles / Game
31
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
17
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U