GBPackers
2-2
13
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
017
OAKRaiders
1-3
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
3
0
10
0
13
Raiders
0
10
0
7
17
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
279
Total Plays
57
64
Yards / Play
5.0
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.17
Passing Yards
175
183
Comp/Att
16/30(53%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.49
-0.06
Rushing Yards
110
96
Rush Attempts
25
29
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
33%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-13.58
-5.31
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-7
-25
Sack EPA
-2.16
-8.29
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
18
28
Penalty EPA
-2.13
-7.66
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+62
Home nfelo
1,491
Away nfelo
1,498
Home Field
+58.3
Base HFA
+43.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.4
Net QB Adjustment
+11.0
Home QB Adjustment
+0.2
Away QB Adjustment
-10.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
24.8
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-10.9
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+0.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
7
Yards / Game
10
14
Passing Yards / Game
25
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
20
EPA
EPA / Play
5
5
EPA / Pass
2
9
EPA / Rush
14
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
20
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
5
21
Turnover EPA / Game
30
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
25
4th Down Efficiency
16
23
RZ Efficiency
17
27
Raiders Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
13
Yards / Game
27
22
Passing Yards / Game
32
26
Rushing Yards / Game
30
28
EPA
EPA / Play
24
25
EPA / Pass
22
23
EPA / Rush
26
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
30
Interceptions / Game
28
28
Fumbles / Game
10
12
Turnover EPA / Game
13
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
28
4th Down Efficiency
6
5
RZ Efficiency
24
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U