GBPackers
3-2
27
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
82°F
1 mph
29
LARRams
7-0
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
82°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
3
10
7
27
Rams
0
6
15
6
27
Spread
+7.5
Total
UNDER
57
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
418
Total Plays
52
77
Yards / Play
6.9
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.03
Passing Yards
253
283
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
20/37(54%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.31
Rushing Yards
106
135
Rush Attempts
19
35
Yards / Rush
5.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
11
18
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
22%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
18
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.64
--
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-33
-26
Sack EPA
-7.60
-7.91
Penalties
2
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+174
Home nfelo
1,683
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+23.3
Base HFA
+58.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-45.1
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
+2.4
Home QB Adjustment
+20.8
Away QB Adjustment
+18.4
Market Regression
-38.1
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+20.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
10
20
Passing Yards / Game
4
15
Rushing Yards / Game
22
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
16
10
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
26
Interceptions / Game
1
5
Fumbles / Game
13
6
Turnover EPA / Game
30
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
6
4th Down Efficiency
19
21
RZ Efficiency
14
15
Rams Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
18
Passing Yards / Game
9
21
Rushing Yards / Game
3
23
EPA
EPA / Play
3
24
EPA / Pass
5
30
EPA / Rush
3
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
2
Interceptions / Game
12
29
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
28
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
13
4th Down Efficiency
19
28
RZ Efficiency
19
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
4-5-1
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U
Rams
8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U