GBPackers
-
16
TBD
Lumen Field
71°F
11 mph
36
SEASeahawks
-
TBD
Lumen Field
71°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
3
0
6
16
Seahawks
3
14
3
14
34
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
398
Total Plays
58
66
Yards / Play
4.4
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.28
Passing Yards
175
191
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
19/28(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.15
+0.20
Rushing Yards
80
207
Rush Attempts
21
37
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
50%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+0.26
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-5.84
-0.38
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
65
69
Penalty EPA
-10.48
-6.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model70.4%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-4.5
Expected Value
+5.9%
Cover Probability
55.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+189
Home nfelo
1,664
Away nfelo
1,566
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-15.4
Home QB Adjustment
-1.4
Away QB Adjustment
+14.1
Market Regression
+8.0
Final Difference
150.8
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+14.1
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
1
Yards / Game
6
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
4
EPA
EPA / Play
3
4
EPA / Pass
2
4
EPA / Rush
12
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
12
Interceptions / Game
2
13
Fumbles / Game
10
15
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
28
RZ Efficiency
11
22
Seahawks Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
14
Yards / Game
8
15
Passing Yards / Game
13
28
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
17
EPA / Pass
10
7
EPA / Rush
1
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
25
Interceptions / Game
5
4
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
23
RZ Efficiency
19
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
3-6-1
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
2-7-1
O/U